Atromitos 1-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 18 Aug 2024

Atromitos
1-1 HT 0-0
Aris Saloniki
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.05
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
13%
5.69
X/2
16%
5.34
X/X
13%
4.1
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
12%
3.7
2/X
11%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atromitos v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.15/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.18
+21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
15.2 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.85 xG 1.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
276 Passes 405
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
05.11.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-3 HT 1-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
26.02.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 2-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
05.11.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
23.02.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
27.09.2021 Atromitos Atromitos 1-3 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN

Atromitos 1-1 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
1-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.63 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
318 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos and Aris Saloniki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atromitos had 49% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 51%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.63 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atromitos and 1.83 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki?

Atromitos 1-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 32%, draw 30%, Aris Saloniki 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aris Saloniki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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