Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-2
Panathinaikos
YUN
1-0
HT 0-0
Panathinaikos
YUN
1-0
HT 0-0
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
0-1
HT 0-0
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
2-1
HT 2-1
Panathinaikos
YUN
Panathinaikos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis — Actual Match Statistics
Asteras Tripolis nicked a narrow win over Panathinaikos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Panathinaikos at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Panathinaikos had 66% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 34%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.62 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.83 for Asteras Tripolis.
What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Panathinaikos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 56%, draw 25%, Asteras Tripolis 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.