AEK Atina 3-0 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.44
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
8%
24.0
X/1
21%
3.45
X/2
7%
22.3
X/X
7%
8.27
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
3%
17.5
2/X
5%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-7.4pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.6pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
2.11/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.10
+8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -8%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 73%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.7
25.7 Crosses 10.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY OFI
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.57 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
346 Passes 275
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
02.10.2023 OFI OFI 2-0 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
05.03.2023 OFI OFI 0-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
09.11.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
20.12.2021 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-2 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
19.09.2021 OFI OFI 3-3 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
3-0
AWAY OFI
1.23 xG 0.23
72% Ball Possession 28%
19 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
496 Passes 160
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina swept aside OFI 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, AEK Atina had 72% of the ball to OFI's 28%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.23 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for AEK Atina and 1.17 for OFI.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs OFI?

AEK Atina 3-0 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 66%, draw 19%, OFI 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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