Eibar 1-2 Cultural Leonesa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
4.24
6+ Goals
11%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.29
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.9
X/1
17%
4.14
X/2
9%
9.68
X/X
8%
4.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
27.5
2/2
12%
8.41
2/X
7%
16.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 13% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.63/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.90
-2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / -35%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.9 Crosses 11.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
1-2
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
436 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Cultural Leonesa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa nicked a narrow win over Eibar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Eibar had 58% of the ball to Cultural Leonesa's 42%, shots finished 22-12.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Cultural Leonesa?

Eibar 1-2 Cultural Leonesa in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Cultural Leonesa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Eibar 51%, draw 24%, Cultural Leonesa 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eibar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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