Granada 1-1 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2025

Granada
1-1 HT 1-1
Ceuta
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Granada vs Ceuta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.91
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.55
X/2
9%
7.21
X/X
13%
4.2
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
10%
5.87
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Granada v Ceuta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.51/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.60
-6% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
22.5 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Granada 1-1 Ceuta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
1-1
AWAY Ceuta
1.01 xG 0.69
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
327 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Granada vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada and Ceuta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Granada at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Granada had 57% of the ball to Ceuta's 43%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.01 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Granada vs Ceuta?

Granada 1-1 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Granada 46%, draw 29%, Ceuta 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Granada) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Granada) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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