Barakaldo 1-2 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Dec 2025

Barakaldo
1-2 HT 1-2
Real Aviles
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Barakaldo vs Real Aviles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
23.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barakaldo v Real Aviles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.58/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.71
+9% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Barakaldo 1-2 Real Aviles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
1-2
AWAY Real Aviles
72% Ball Possession 28%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles nicked a narrow win over Barakaldo 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Barakaldo at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Barakaldo had 72% of the ball to Real Aviles's 28%, shots finished 19-6.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Real Aviles?

Barakaldo 1-2 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 50%, draw 25%, Real Aviles 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barakaldo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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