Deportes Limache 1-0 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Limache EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.37/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.46
+9% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.4 Crosses 14.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Limache
2W-1D-0L
AWAY La Serena
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.74 xG 1.14
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
260 Passes 298
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-6 HT 1-2 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache ŞİLİK
08.09.2025 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 2-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİK
22.06.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Limache
1-0
AWAY La Serena
1.21 xG 0.52
72% Ball Possession 28%
10 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
499 Passes 128
84% Pass Accuracy 60%
12 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportes Limache vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Limache edged past La Serena 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportes Limache as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportes Limache had 72% of the ball to La Serena's 28%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.21 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportes Limache had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Deportes Limache and 0.67 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Deportes Limache vs La Serena?

Deportes Limache 1-0 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Limache vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Limache win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportes Limache 41%, draw 26%, La Serena 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Limache) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Limache) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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