Adelaide United (K) 1-3 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 7 Dec 2025

Adelaide United (K)
1-3 HT 0-2
Brisbane Roar (K)
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒08:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Adelaide United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.5pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United (K) v Brisbane Roar (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.55/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.54
-10% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
23.9 Crosses 15.3
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Adelaide United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 2.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
316 Passes 319
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.03.2025 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 3-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
19.01.2025 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
16.03.2024 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
14.12.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 3-2 HT 2-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
01.02.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
18.11.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW

Adelaide United (K) 1-3 Brisbane Roar (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
1-3
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
0.33 xG 2.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
279 Passes 244
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
4 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) saw off Adelaide United (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Adelaide United (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 53% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 47%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.33 to 2.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 1.33 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 1-3 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 49%, draw 20%, Brisbane Roar (K) 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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