Central Coast Mariners (K) 4-1 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 7 Dec 2025

Central Coast Mariners (K)
4-1 HT 1-1
Newcastle Jets (K)
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.19/2.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.15
+29% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
14.0 Crosses 21.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.83 xG 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
250 Passes 281
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.04.2025 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
01.02.2025 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 5-1 HT 2-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
28.01.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW

Central Coast Mariners (K) 4-1 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
4-1
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
2.00 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
360 Passes 246
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) cruised past Newcastle Jets (K) 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Central Coast Mariners (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 57% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 43%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.00 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Central Coast Mariners (K) and 0.67 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 4-1 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 48%, draw 27%, Newcastle Jets (K) 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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