Spartak Varna 1-3 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
11%
5.28
Away
78%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.21
Over 2.5
65%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
40%
X/X
4%
2/1
2%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
5%
+5.9pp
10%
Draw
16%
-5.1pp
78%
Away Win
79%
-0.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 84%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.25/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/0.78
+97% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -35%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-1 HT 2-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
21.02.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
31.08.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
1-3
AWAY Levski Sofia
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia got the better of Spartak Varna 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Varna had 30% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 70%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Spartak Varna and 1.33 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia?

Spartak Varna 1-3 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 11%, draw 10%, Levski Sofia 78%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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