Levski Sofia 2-0 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.81/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.87
-13% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Spartak Varna
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
2-0
AWAY Spartak Varna
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia beat Spartak Varna 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 68% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 32%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Levski Sofia 2-0 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 56%, draw 22%, Spartak Varna 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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