PFC Beroe 2-1 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+2.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.78/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.62
+1% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hebar 1918
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 3-1 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
17.05.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
24.11.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-1 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
29.07.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
05.06.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 3-1 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
08.05.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-2 HT 0-1 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
2-1
AWAY Hebar 1918
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe squeezed past Hebar 1918 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PFC Beroe as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 59% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 41%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hebar 1918 led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PFC Beroe and 1.67 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Hebar 1918?

PFC Beroe 2-1 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 53%, draw 29%, Hebar 1918 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PFC Beroe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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