CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 20%
-29% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.80/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.34
-57% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-3 HT 0-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
04.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia edged past Botev Vratsa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.00 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 51%, draw 22%, Botev Vratsa 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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