Botev Vratsa 0-3 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.96/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.00
-1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
0-3
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia ran out comfortable winners over Botev Vratsa 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 48% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 52%, shots finished 11-16.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Botev Vratsa 0-3 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 33%, draw 26%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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