Slavia Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.56
Over 2.5
49%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
60%
-9.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
40%
+9.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 23%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.19/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.78
+8% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-1 HT 1-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
06.05.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
06.04.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 2-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
07.10.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
01.06.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
19.05.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
1-1
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia and Arda Kardzhali shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Slavia Sofia at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 51% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 49%, shots finished 4-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.33 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Slavia Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 55%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Slavia Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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