CSKA Sofia 0-1 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.68
No
38%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.3pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.49/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.39
+38% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.05.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
17.04.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BULK
17.03.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 4-0 HT 3-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
22.09.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv edged past CSKA Sofia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CSKA Sofia and 1.00 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

CSKA Sofia 0-1 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 45%, draw 29%, Botev Plovdiv 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
30 Aug 2024
17:00 Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Analysis →
19:15 Botev Vratsa vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Analysis →