Levski Sofia 2-1 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.25
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.53
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
59%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
2%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
76%
+3.0pp
15%
Draw
17%
-1.7pp
6%
Away Win
7%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.93/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.23
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -5%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Spartak Varna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.02.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
31.08.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
2-1
AWAY Spartak Varna
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 4
15 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia squeezed past Spartak Varna 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 69% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 31%, shots finished 24-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.00 for Spartak Varna.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Levski Sofia 2-1 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 79%, draw 15%, Spartak Varna 6%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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