Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 36%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.33/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.34
-71% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
15.12.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-5 HT 0-3 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BULK
08.11.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
21.04.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-4 HT 0-2 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
26.10.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 6-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
01.06.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 1-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 edged past Botev Plovdiv 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 61% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 39%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 0.50 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 38%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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