Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.13/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.48
+8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +91%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-5 HT 0-3 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BULK
08.11.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
21.04.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-4 HT 0-2 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
26.10.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 6-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
01.06.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 1-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
19.05.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-1
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and Botev Plovdiv couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 43% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 57%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 3.17 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Plovdiv?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 32%, draw 28%, Botev Plovdiv 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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