Levski Krumovgrad 1-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.78
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
56%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
11%
+11.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
56%
Away Win
69%
-12.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.0pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 72%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.10/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.73
+61% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
0W-2D-2L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-2 HT 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
18.05.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-2 HT 1-1 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
12.11.2023 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 1-4 HT 1-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
21.07.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Krumovgrad squeezed past CSKA Sofia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CSKA Sofia at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Levski Krumovgrad and 2.25 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs CSKA Sofia?

Levski Krumovgrad 1-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 23%, draw 21%, CSKA Sofia 56%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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