CSKA Sofia 2-2 Levski Krumovgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-13.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+9.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 14%
-22% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.59/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.97
-24% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-2 HT 1-1 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
12.11.2023 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 1-4 HT 1-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
21.07.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
2-2
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Levski Krumovgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia and Levski Krumovgrad couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CSKA Sofia at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 61% of the ball to Levski Krumovgrad's 39%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CSKA Sofia and 1.00 for Levski Krumovgrad.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Levski Krumovgrad?

CSKA Sofia 2-2 Levski Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 57%, draw 23%, Levski Krumovgrad 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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