Hebar 1918 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
53%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.10/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.07
+24% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
0W-1D-1L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-3 HT 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
07.08.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebar 1918 and CSKA 1948 Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA 1948 Sofia at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hebar 1918 and 2.00 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Hebar 1918 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 23%, draw 24%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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