Malacateco 1-0 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 7 Dec 2025

Malacateco
1-0 HT 1-0
Aurora
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2025/2026

Malacateco vs Aurora Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malacateco v Aurora — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.51/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.02
-10% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -34%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
378 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 172 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0

Malacateco vs Aurora Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Aurora
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.11.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
07.09.2025 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco squeezed past Aurora 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Malacateco and 0.50 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Aurora?

Malacateco 1-0 Aurora in the Guatemala - National League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 50%, draw 25%, Aurora 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Over 2.5
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
7 Dec 2025
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