Volendam 2-3 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
58%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
2.63
Over Pick
69%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.45
No
37%
2.56
Total Goals
0-1
14%
6.16
2-3
42%
2.1
4-5
32%
2.5
6+
12%
5.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.72
1/2
4%
19.0
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
8%
10.2
X/2
18%
4.78
X/X
11%
6.81
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
36%
2.09
2/X
5%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.0 — our 4% vs market 3.0%. Landed.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Volendam The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen The Market 59%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.15 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.33
1.73 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.21
Weak Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Weak
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 81%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
0W-1D-5L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.47 xG 2.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
337 Passes 365
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2024 Volendam Volendam 2-5 HT 0-3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
05.11.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-3 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
25.02.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
14.08.2022 Volendam Volendam 1-4 HT 1-2 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
15.03.2021 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
15.09.2020 Volendam Volendam 1-3 HT 0-2 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
2 - 3
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
2.12 xG 1.29
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
223 Passes 320
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Volendam vs NEC Nijmegen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

NEC Nijmegen nicked a narrow win over Volendam 3-2 on the road. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (63%) came home.

Under the surface, NEC Nijmegen saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.12 to 1.29 — on chances, Volendam could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Volendam against 3.17 for NEC Nijmegen.

Volendam vs NEC Nijmegen Result & Final Score

Volendam 2 - 3 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Volendam vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Volendam 21%, draw 21%, NEC Nijmegen 58%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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