Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over
52%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.63
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
23%
3.23
6+
6%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.28
1/2
2%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.41
X/2
12%
6.44
X/X
15%
4.97
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
18%
4.3
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 3% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sparta Rotterdam The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda The Market 36%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.34 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
1.45 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
4W-1D-1L
AWAY NAC Breda
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
351 Passes 340
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.03.2025 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
07.12.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
03.08.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HAZ
20.07.2019 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-0 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HAZ
14.07.2018 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HAZ
18.04.2018 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 0
AWAY NAC Breda
2.40 xG 2.26
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 14
275 Passes 380
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 41
5 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sparta Rotterdam edged past NAC Breda 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, NAC Breda saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 2.40 to 2.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Sparta Rotterdam against 1.00 for NAC Breda.

Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda Result & Final Score

Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 0 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 42%, draw 26%, NAC Breda 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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