Gor Mahia 0-1 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 7 Dec 2025

Gor Mahia
0-1 HT 0-1
Leopards SC
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gor Mahia v Leopards SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.49/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.05
+37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Leopards SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.06.2025 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 1-1 HT 1-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
30.03.2025 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
07.10.2023 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-2 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
20.10.2021 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC squeezed past Gor Mahia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Gor Mahia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gor Mahia and 0.25 for Leopards SC.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC?

Gor Mahia 0-1 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 44%, draw 31%, Leopards SC 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gor Mahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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