KCB Nairobi vs Sofapaka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KCB Nairobi v Sofapaka — Team-Based Signals
KCB Nairobi vs Sofapaka Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
Sofapaka
KEN
0-0
HT 0-0
KCB Nairobi
KEN2
1-2
HT 0-0
KCB Nairobi
KEN2
KCB Nairobi 1-0 Sofapaka — Actual Match Statistics
KCB Nairobi squeezed past Sofapaka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 37% / 29%) promised a tight game; KCB Nairobi found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, KCB Nairobi had 64% of the ball to Sofapaka's 36%, shots finished 9-4.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for KCB Nairobi and 0.60 for Sofapaka.
What was the final score of KCB Nairobi vs Sofapaka?
KCB Nairobi 1-0 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KCB Nairobi vs Sofapaka?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split KCB Nairobi 35%, draw 37%, Sofapaka 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.