Sofapaka 2-0 KCB Nairobi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.7pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 36%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.98/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.84
+13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sofapaka
0W-3D-1L
AWAY KCB Nairobi
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
12.12.2024 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 0-0 HT 0-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN
05.03.2022 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-0 HT 0-0 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
05.03.2022 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 0-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN
24.10.2021 Sofapaka Sofapaka 1-2 HT 0-0 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sofapaka
2-0
AWAY KCB Nairobi
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs KCB Nairobi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka got the better of KCB Nairobi 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Sofapaka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Sofapaka had 44% of the ball to KCB Nairobi's 56%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, KCB Nairobi led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Sofapaka and 0.50 for KCB Nairobi.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs KCB Nairobi?

Sofapaka 2-0 KCB Nairobi in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs KCB Nairobi?

Before kick-off our model rated an KCB Nairobi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 31%, draw 32%, KCB Nairobi 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (KCB Nairobi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KCB Nairobi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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