Bandari 2-3 Talanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
51%
+5.7pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandari EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Talanta EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.01/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.30
-19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandari
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Talanta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.10.2024 Talanta 0-0 Bandari Bandari KEN
31.10.2021 Bandari Bandari 3-0 HT 2-0 Talanta KEN2
POST-MATCH Bandari vs Talanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talanta squeezed past Bandari 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Bandari carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bandari had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bandari and 0.00 for Talanta.

What was the final score of Bandari vs Talanta?

Bandari 2-3 Talanta in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandari vs Talanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandari win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bandari 57%, draw 23%, Talanta 20%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bandari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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