TransMara Sugar 1-2 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

TransMara Sugar
1-2 HT 0-1
Leopards SC
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

TransMara Sugar vs Leopards SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
22%
2.94
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+9.8pp
22%
Draw
30%
-8.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

TransMara Sugar v Leopards SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 40%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.05/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.84
+147% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

TransMara Sugar vs Leopards SC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransMara Sugar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Leopards SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Leopards SC Leopards SC 1-1 HT 0-1 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar KEN
POST-MATCH TransMara Sugar vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC nicked a narrow win over TransMara Sugar 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was TransMara Sugar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Leopards SC?

TransMara Sugar 1-2 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransMara Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 43%, draw 22%, Leopards SC 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (TransMara Sugar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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