Kwara United 2-0 Niger Tornadoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.44
No
71%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.4pp
29%
BTTS Yes
37%
-8.2pp
71%
BTTS No
63%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.22/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.00
-13% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
306 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.01.2025 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 2-1 HT 1-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
08.09.2024 Kwara United Kwara United 1-2 HT 0-1 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
02.06.2024 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 1-1 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
17.12.2023 Kwara United Kwara United 0-0 HT 0-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
27.02.2022 Kwara United Kwara United 1-0 HT 1-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kwara United
2-0
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Niger Tornadoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United saw off Niger Tornadoes 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kwara United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (71%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kwara United had 54% of the ball to Niger Tornadoes's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Niger Tornadoes led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Kwara United and 1.00 for Niger Tornadoes.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Kwara United 2-0 Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria NPFL on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 52%, draw 29%, Niger Tornadoes 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kwara United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kwara United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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