Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Niger Tornadoes v Kwara United — Team-Based Signals
Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Kwara United
NIJ
0-0
HT 0-0
Niger Tornadoes
NIJ
1-0
HT 1-0
Niger Tornadoes
NIJ
Niger Tornadoes 2-1 Kwara United — Actual Match Statistics
Niger Tornadoes nicked a narrow win over Kwara United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Niger Tornadoes as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Niger Tornadoes had 48% of the ball to Kwara United's 52%, shots finished 13-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Niger Tornadoes and 0.75 for Kwara United.
What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United?
Niger Tornadoes 2-1 Kwara United in the Nigeria NPFL on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 52%, draw 29%, Kwara United 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.