Kwara United 1-2 Niger Tornadoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.8pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.26/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.20
-18% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
02.06.2024 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 1-1 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
17.12.2023 Kwara United Kwara United 0-0 HT 0-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
27.02.2022 Kwara United Kwara United 1-0 HT 1-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Niger Tornadoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes edged past Kwara United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Kwara United carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kwara United had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kwara United and 0.33 for Niger Tornadoes.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Kwara United 1-2 Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 59%, draw 23%, Niger Tornadoes 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kwara United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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