Sunshine Stars 3-0 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.51
Over 2.5
31%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.51
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.2pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.44/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.46
-16% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Stars
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayelsa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
07.04.2024 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Sunshine Stars vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Stars cruised past Bayelsa United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sunshine Stars as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

What was the final score of Sunshine Stars vs Bayelsa United?

Sunshine Stars 3-0 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Stars vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Stars 51%, draw 29%, Bayelsa United 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunshine Stars), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sunshine Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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