Nasarawa United 1-1 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
55%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.7pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 20%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.92/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.38
+28% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasarawa United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shooting Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
03.04.2022 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 2-0 HT 0-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
20.03.2022 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasarawa United and Shooting Stars couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nasarawa United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nasarawa United and 0.50 for Shooting Stars.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs Shooting Stars?

Nasarawa United 1-1 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 53%, draw 30%, Shooting Stars 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nasarawa United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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