Katsina United 1-0 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
25%
2.95
No
75%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
51%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
25%
BTTS Yes
30%
-5.0pp
75%
BTTS No
70%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.71/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.43
+16% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katsina United
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Plateau United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 Plateau United Plateau United 1-0 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
17.03.2024 Katsina United Katsina United 2-1 HT 1-1 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
06.03.2022 Plateau United Plateau United 1-0 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
23.01.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 0-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katsina United squeezed past Plateau United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Katsina United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (75%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Plateau United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Katsina United and 0.75 for Plateau United.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Plateau United?

Katsina United 1-0 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 51%, draw 29%, Plateau United 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katsina United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katsina United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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