Plateau United 1-0 Katsina United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.9pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.8pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.8pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plateau United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Katsina United EU Bookmakers 15%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
2.32/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.60
+39% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plateau United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Katsina United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
17.03.2024 Katsina United Katsina United 2-1 HT 1-1 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
06.03.2022 Plateau United Plateau United 1-0 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
23.01.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 0-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plateau United
1-0
AWAY Katsina United
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Plateau United vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plateau United nicked a narrow win over Katsina United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Plateau United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Plateau United had 63% of the ball to Katsina United's 37%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Plateau United and 0.67 for Katsina United.

What was the final score of Plateau United vs Katsina United?

Plateau United 1-0 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Katsina United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 51%, draw 29%, Katsina United 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plateau United), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Plateau United) ✓ Under 2.5
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