Enyimba 1-1 Heartland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
3.06
No
59%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-8.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
28%
+12.5pp
59%
BTTS No
72%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enyimba EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Heartland EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.62/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.69
-4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 188 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Enyimba
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Heartland
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
08.09.2024 Heartland Heartland 1-3 HT 0-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
16.04.2024 Enyimba Enyimba 1-0 HT 1-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
26.02.2022 Heartland Heartland 1-0 HT 0-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
30.05.2021 Enyimba Enyimba 0-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
13.01.2021 Heartland Heartland 2-0 HT 1-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
POST-MATCH Enyimba vs Heartland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enyimba and Heartland shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Enyimba carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Enyimba and 0.80 for Heartland.

What was the final score of Enyimba vs Heartland?

Enyimba 1-1 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enyimba vs Heartland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Enyimba win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Enyimba 62%, draw 24%, Heartland 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Enyimba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Enyimba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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