Heartland 1-3 Enyimba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.48
Over 2.5
48%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
64%
-12.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
36%
+12.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heartland EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Enyimba EU Bookmakers 42%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.44/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.36
+22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heartland
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Enyimba
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
16.04.2024 Enyimba Enyimba 1-0 HT 1-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
26.02.2022 Heartland Heartland 1-0 HT 0-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
30.05.2021 Enyimba Enyimba 0-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
13.01.2021 Heartland Heartland 2-0 HT 1-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
POST-MATCH Heartland vs Enyimba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enyimba got the better of Heartland 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Enyimba found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Heartland had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Heartland and 0.25 for Enyimba.

What was the final score of Heartland vs Enyimba?

Heartland 1-3 Enyimba in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heartland vs Enyimba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Enyimba win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Heartland 33%, draw 29%, Enyimba 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Enyimba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Enyimba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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