Makhachkala 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 7 Dec 2025

Makhachkala
0-1 HT 0-1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Makhachkala vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.69
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
17%
4.14
X/2
9%
8.03
X/X
15%
3.88
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
8%
7.26
2/X
9%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Makhachkala v Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 26%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.93/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.60
+3% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.0 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Makhachkala vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.80 xG 0.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
277 Passes 213
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 HT 1-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUK
18.08.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 HT 2-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
30.07.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
24.11.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
04.08.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod squeezed past Makhachkala 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Makhachkala at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Makhachkala and 0.80 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Makhachkala 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 47%, draw 29%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Makhachkala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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