Krasnodar 3-2 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
2.07
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.25
X/1
14%
4.16
X/2
5%
10.35
X/X
9%
5.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.8
2/2
7%
8.2
2/X
6%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-6.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+6.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.6pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.96/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.30
+12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +108%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.5 Crosses 11.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 266
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
12.07.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUSK
10.05.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
18.09.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
10.08.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
31.07.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
3-2
AWAY CSKA Moskova
2.45 xG 1.78
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
343 Passes 201
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
51 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar squeezed past CSKA Moskova 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Krasnodar had 61% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 39%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.45 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Krasnodar and 1.00 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskova?

Krasnodar 3-2 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 59%, draw 23%, CSKA Moskova 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
7 Dec 2025
14:00 Makhachkala vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Analysis →
16:30 FC Sochi vs Lokomotiv Moscow Analysis →
19:00 Baltika Kaliningrad vs Krylya Sovetov Analysis →