CSKA Moskova 2-0 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 36%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.36/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/2.08
-78% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.15 xG 0.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 Passes 420
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
31.07.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
10.12.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
29.10.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
11.06.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
27.05.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
2-0
AWAY Krasnodar
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova saw off Krasnodar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 46% of the ball to Krasnodar's 54%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.83 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Krasnodar?

CSKA Moskova 2-0 Krasnodar in the Russia - Cup on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 42%, draw 28%, Krasnodar 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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