Akron 2-0 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 18 Sep 2024

Akron
2-0 HT 0-0
Fakel
📅18/09/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
8%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 32% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 31%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+61% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
422 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fakel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.10 xG 0.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
359 Passes 161
75% Pass Accuracy 58%
27 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.08.2024 Fakel Fakel 1-2 HT 1-1 Akron Akron RUK
27.07.2024 Fakel Fakel 0-2 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS
17.11.2021 Akron Akron 2-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS1
08.08.2021 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUS1
15.05.2021 Akron Akron 0-2 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS1
01.08.2020 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
2-0
AWAY Fakel
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akron vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron saw off Fakel 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Akron as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Akron had 61% of the ball to Fakel's 39%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Akron and 0.83 for Fakel.

What was the final score of Akron vs Fakel?

Akron 2-0 Fakel in the Russia - Cup on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akron win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Akron 46%, draw 27%, Fakel 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akron), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Akron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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