FC Sochi vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Sochi v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
FC Sochi vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
3-0
HT 2-0
FC Sochi
RUS
4-0
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
2-2
HT 2-1
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
FC Sochi 2-4 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Moscow beat FC Sochi 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, FC Sochi had 49% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 51%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.70 to 4.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Sochi and 1.83 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
FC Sochi 2-4 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 19%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Moscow 57%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.