Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

Lokomotiv Moscow
2-2 HT 2-1
FC Sochi
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Lokomotiv Moscow vs FC Sochi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 30% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
16%
4.16
X/2
11%
8.43
X/X
11%
4.98
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
11%
6.37
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiv Moscow v FC Sochi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -21%
1.49/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.45
+16% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
16.7 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Lokomotiv Moscow vs FC Sochi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 353
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
08.05.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
08.10.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 4-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
17.04.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-2 HT 2-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
25.10.2021 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
07.04.2021 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-3 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK

Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 FC Sochi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
2-2
AWAY FC Sochi
1.25 xG 0.71
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
333 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow and FC Sochi couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Moscow at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 50% of the ball to FC Sochi's 50%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.25 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 1.33 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs FC Sochi?

Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 FC Sochi in the Russia - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 45%, draw 27%, FC Sochi 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
10 Mar 2024
14:00 FK Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad Analysis →
19:00 Spartak Moskova vs Fakel Analysis →