FK Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Orenburg v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals
FK Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
FK Orenburg
RUS
2-1
HT 0-1
Baltika Kaliningrad
RUS1
1-1
HT 1-1
FK Orenburg
RUS1
1-2
HT 0-2
FK Orenburg
RUS1
2-2
HT 1-0
Baltika Kaliningrad
RUS1
FK Orenburg 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics
FK Orenburg edged past Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Orenburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, FK Orenburg had 50% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 50%, shots finished 9-14.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Orenburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for FK Orenburg and 1.20 for Baltika Kaliningrad.
What was the final score of FK Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
FK Orenburg 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
Before kick-off our model rated a FK Orenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 43%, draw 27%, Baltika Kaliningrad 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Orenburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.