CSKA Moskova 1-1 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 31% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.91
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
5.87
X/2
11%
5.59
X/X
14%
4.42
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
12%
3.64
2/X
5%
12.45
Value flag · X/1 at 5.87 — our 23% vs market 12.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
36%
+9.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.19/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.20
-19% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
15.5 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.26 xG 0.89
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
274 Passes 335
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUSK
10.05.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
18.09.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
10.08.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
31.07.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
10.12.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
1-1
AWAY Krasnodar
0.60 xG 0.42
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
299 Passes 239
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova and Krasnodar shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Moskova at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 55% of the ball to Krasnodar's 45%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.60 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.67 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Krasnodar?

CSKA Moskova 1-1 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 46%, draw 24%, Krasnodar 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ BTTS Yes
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