Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 31 Aug 2025

Lokomotiv Moscow
2-2 HT 2-0
Krylya Sovetov
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.95
Over 2.5
59%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.39
6+ Goals
12%
12.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.39 — our 26% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.17
X/2
7%
9.37
X/X
6%
5.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.35
2/2
9%
7.42
2/X
5%
15.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.35 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.5pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiv Moscow v Krylya Sovetov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.65/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.69
-1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.7 Crosses 14.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.21 xG 2.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
354 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.03.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 5-1 HT 4-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
06.10.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
25.11.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-3 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
12.08.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
14.05.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
13.08.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS

Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 Krylya Sovetov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
2-2
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.28 xG 1.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
344 Passes 335
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lokomotiv Moscow and Krylya Sovetov shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Russia - Premier League on 31 Aug 2025. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 51% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 49%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.28 to 1.41.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 1.83 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?

Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 58%, draw 20%, Krylya Sovetov 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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