Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 30% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
23%
3.82
X/2
9%
10.95
X/X
9%
5.99
2/1
8%
21.4
2/2
12%
8.22
2/X
9%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+14.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-14.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.59/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.49
-6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.5 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
312 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-3 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
12.08.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
14.05.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
13.08.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
21.05.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
11.09.2021 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.94 xG 2.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 6
378 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 31
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow edged past Krylya Sovetov 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 54% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 46%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.94 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 1.00 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?

Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 47%, draw 26%, Krylya Sovetov 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
6 Oct 2024
14:00 Fakel vs Makhachkala Analysis →
19:00 Dinamo Moscow vs CSKA Moskova Analysis →
19:00 Krasnodar vs Khimki Analysis →