Fakel 1-1 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.78
2-3 Goals
52%
1.93
4-5 Goals
10%
8.26
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.15
X/1
15%
4.99
X/2
9%
5.19
X/X
16%
3.02
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.54
2/X
7%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.6pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.5pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+1.3pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-1.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.0pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
236 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.8 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
1-1
AWAY Makhachkala
1.22 xG 0.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
200 Passes 201
66% Pass Accuracy 62%
33 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 17
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel and Makhachkala couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Fakel had 49% of the ball to Makhachkala's 51%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.22 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Makhachkala?

Fakel 1-1 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fakel 40%, draw 30%, Makhachkala 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fakel), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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